Not only do the Patriots win conference championships and Super Bowls, they cover spreads, too. Over the last two seasons New England, despite playing as a favorite all the time, is a sparkling 24-8 ATS. How might that NFL betting trend affect our free NFL pick on Week 1’s Patriots-Texans game in Foxboro?
New England Patriots
The New England Patriots are a professional American football team based in the Greater Boston region. The Patriots compete in the National Football League as a member club of the league’s American Football Conference East division.
The Houston Texans are a professional American football team based in Houston, Texas. The Texans compete in the National Football League as a member club of the American Football Conference South division.
Patriots vs Texans
Game : Patriots vs Texans
Time : Sunday, SEP 09TH 1:00 PM ET
TV Channel : CBS
Stadium : Gillette Stadium
These teams have met each of the last four seasons, including a playoff match two seasons ago, with New England winning each game. Last year these teams played one of the most exciting games of the season, a 36-33 Patriots victory. But Houston covered as 13-point underdogs.
The Texans, with Watson in the saddle, out-gained New England that day 417-396 and won time-of-possession by a 34/25 split. But Brady hit Brandin Cooks from 25 yards out with 23 seconds left to give the Patriots the win.
That game also played way over a total of 45.
|Braxton Miller, WR||Questionable||
|Chris Thompson, WR||Questionable||
|Rex Burkhead, RB||Questionable||
|Jeremy Hill, RB||Questionable||
The Texans bombed to 4-12 last season (7-9 ATS), but injuries to key people played a huge part. Houston went 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS in Deshaun Watson’s six starts at quarterback, 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS without him. They also went 2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS after losing JJ Watt. Needless to say the Texans never approached their regular-season wins over/under of 8.5. Heading into this season, in expectation of better health, Houston again faces an O/U of 8.5.
The Patriots, meanwhile, finished 13-3 last season (11-5 ATS), won the AFC East again, rallied to beat Jacksonville in the AFC championship but came up a Hail Mary short in the Super Bowl. New England also played over the highest O/U in the league at 12. Heading into this season the Patriots, led by a now 41-year-old Tom Brady, again face the highest O/U on the board at 11.